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	<title>NFL Spin Zone &#187; 2013 Free Agency</title>
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		<title>You Heard It Here First: Ravens Should Cut Boldin To Sign Jennings</title>
		<link>http://nflspinzone.com/2013/02/03/you-heard-it-here-first-ravens-should-cut-boldin-to-sign-jennings/</link>
		<comments>http://nflspinzone.com/2013/02/03/you-heard-it-here-first-ravens-should-cut-boldin-to-sign-jennings/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Feb 2013 10:30:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Smith</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[You Heard It Here First]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2013 Free Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anquan Boldin]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[greg jennings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nfl free agency]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nflspinzone.com/?p=11900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This is the return of You Heard It Here First where bold predictions are the norm and crazy theories are allowed to run wild. It may be Super Bowl Sunday but I&#8217;m already looking ahead to the offseason and in this addition of You Heard It Here First I thought I&#8217;d tackle one of the [...]</p><p><a href="http://nflspinzone.com/2013/02/03/you-heard-it-here-first-ravens-should-cut-boldin-to-sign-jennings/">You Heard It Here First: Ravens Should Cut Boldin To Sign Jennings</a> - <a href="http://nflspinzone.com">NFL Spin Zone</a> - <a href="http://nflspinzone.com">NFL Spin Zone - A General NFL Blog providing you all the NFL News, Rumors, Updates, and National Football League News.</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_11931" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 660px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/136/files/2013/02/6913198.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-11931" title="NFL: AFC Wild Card Playoff-Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens" src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/136/files/2013/02/6913198.jpg" alt="" width="650" height="432" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Jan 6, 2013; Baltimore, MD, USA; Baltimore Ravens receiver Anquan Boldin (81) is defended by Indiapolis cornerback Cassius Vaughn (32) on a 45-yard reception in the third quarter in the AFC Wild Card playoff game at M</p></div>
<p>This is the return of You Heard It Here First where bold predictions are the norm and crazy theories are allowed to run wild.</p>
<p>It may be Super Bowl Sunday but I&#8217;m already looking ahead to the offseason and in this addition of You Heard It Here First I thought I&#8217;d tackle one of the major pieces of Joe Flacco&#8217;s offense &#8211; his troublesome receiving corps.</p>
<p>Now I hear what you&#8217;re saying &#8211; you didn&#8217;t think there was much wrong with the receivers Baltimore has right? Well I&#8217;d disagree. There are three main points to consider here. First of all, Torrey Smith isn&#8217;t a truly legitimate deep threat &#8211; yet. He&#8217;s coming along nicely but to date he&#8217;s covered a little too easily and when isolated can disappear. So, in my opinion, the Ravens could use a second genuine deep ball receiver.</p>
<p>Second, there is the team&#8217;s cap situation. They have plenty of room &#8211; currently it is estimated the team is under the cap for 2013 by some $16M &#8211; but with Joe Flacco due to get the big payoff in the coming months and Ed Reed, Dannell Ellerbe and Paul Kruger all being free agents there is some belt tightening needed. As such, Boldin will at least be required to reduce his contract and if he refuses there&#8217;s a decent chance the Ravens choose to cut him.</p>
<p>Lastly, there is the fact that Boldin&#8217;s role can be filled relatively easily. Jacoby Jones has played well this season and could be a cheap replacement as the team&#8217;s primary possession receiver. There&#8217;s also tight ends Dennis Pitta and Ed Dickson to fill that role as well as the dynamic Ray Rice out of the backfield. All this makes Boldin expendable.</p>
<p>Ok, so Boldin could be gone. So, I hear you say, why the heck should Baltimore go and pay for Greg Jennings?</p>
<p>First off, let&#8217;s address the cap situation. The Ravens do have some depth at linebacker despite Ray Lewis&#8217; retirement. Courtney Upshaw was a genius pick in the 2012 draft and is the future at the outside and is worthy of some trust. This makes either Kruger or Ellerbe easier to let go.</p>
<p>As for Ed Reed, the team should send strong hints to his agent that they don&#8217;t intend to re-sign him so he can retire gracefully as a Raven. To put it frankly he is going to be too much of a cap problem and not worth the price tag. This team needs to transition to the future anyway and now is the perfect time to say goodbye to the veteran safety &#8211; which, for the record, really hurts me to say as I consider Ed Reed one of my five favorite players in the NFL.</p>
<p>These moves plus the removal of Boldin would give the team the ability to pursue Jennings. While he&#8217;s had his issues over the past year or two, all the talent is still there for the Packers WR as evidenced by some terrific performances in 2012. He would provide an esperienced threat both downfield and in the shorter passing game and instantly forces opposing defenses to make sure he&#8217;s covered which would help open up space for Ray Rice and the tight ends up the middle or Torrey Smith further downfield.</p>
<p>All year there&#8217;s been this suggestion that Baltimore&#8217;s offense is missing something. I believe we&#8217;re going to see this in today&#8217;s Super Bowl and that something has to be done about it in the offseason. Should the Baltimore Ravens cut Anquan Boldin to sign Greg Jennings? If it happens, I certainly won&#8217;t be surprised and now neither will you because <em>You Heard It Here First.</em></p>
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		<title>You Heard It Here First: Matt Schaub Will Leave Houston In 2013</title>
		<link>http://nflspinzone.com/2012/05/09/you-heard-it-here-first-matt-schaub-will-leave-houston-in-2013/</link>
		<comments>http://nflspinzone.com/2012/05/09/you-heard-it-here-first-matt-schaub-will-leave-houston-in-2013/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2012 18:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Smith</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[You Heard It Here First]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2013 Free Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2013 NFL Free Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andre Johnson]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Houston Texans]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Matt Schaub]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nflspinzone.com/?p=7760</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This is You Heard It Here First – where thinking outside the box and predicting the future is a social pastime. This week I decided it was time to move on to a topic I alluded to during the draft process &#8211; the contract status of Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub. One of the bigger [...]</p><p><a href="http://nflspinzone.com/2012/05/09/you-heard-it-here-first-matt-schaub-will-leave-houston-in-2013/">You Heard It Here First: Matt Schaub Will Leave Houston In 2013</a> - <a href="http://nflspinzone.com">NFL Spin Zone</a> - <a href="http://nflspinzone.com">NFL Spin Zone - A General NFL Blog providing you all the NFL News, Rumors, Updates, and National Football League News.</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_7761" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 660px"><a href="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/136/files/2012/05/5581038.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-7761" src="http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/136/files/2012/05/5581038.jpg" alt="" width="650" height="432" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">September 25, 2011; New Orleans, LA, USA; Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub (8) prior to kickoff of a game against the New Orleans Saints at the Louisiana Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-US PRESSWIRE</p></div>
<p>This is You Heard It Here First – where thinking outside the box and predicting the future is a social pastime.</p>
<p>This week I decided it was time to move on to a topic I alluded to during the draft process &#8211; the contract status of Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub.</p>
<p>One of the bigger free agent topics next offseason is guaranteed to be the free agent status of Schaub whose current contract expires at the end of this season. At that point, Schaub would have been in the NFL for 9 seasons but never been a free agent having been acquired by Houston from the Atlanta Falcons in 2007 and immediately signing the contract that he is currently on.</p>
<p>When Schaub originally signed with Houston, he received a $48 million deal for six years that included a $7 million signing bonus and a $10 million option partway through. Despite some of the injuries he has sustained, it can be argued that Schaub has easily outplayed this contract and should be able to get a contract over $10 million per year in free agency. Herein lies the problem.</p>
<p>The Houston Texans are in a salary cap bind which is only going to get worse as time goes on. Recently the club has given very big deals to wide receiver Andre Johnson &#8211; 7 years, $62.7 million, expires 2016 &#8211; running back Arian Foster &#8211; 5 years, $43.5 million, expires 2016 &#8211; Johnathan Joseph &#8211; 5 years, $48.75 million, expires 2015 &#8211; and Chris Myers &#8211; 4 years, $25 million, expires 2015. All of these big deals forced the club to jettison former first round pick and defensive stud Mario Williams at the end of his rookie contract which is unheard of even in modern salary cap times.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s more bad news to come for this relationship. The Texans have a number of very talented players becoming free agents in 2013 and 2014 whose status must be taken into account with the team up against the cap. In 2013 there&#8217;s some major players on the offensive line to re-sign with starting offensive tackles Duane Brown and Rashad Butler both becoming free agents. The team already lost star right tackle Eric Winston to Kansas City this past offseason so getting both offensive tackles back must be a priority. Starting right guard Antoine Caldwell is also due for free agency in 2012 although he may be allowed to leave after the team drafted University of Miami (OH) guard Brandon Brooks in the third round this year.</p>
<p>Still looking at 2013, the defensive pack also has a pair of starters who will get good money in defensive tackle Shaun Cody and linebacker Connor Barwin. It is possible Barwin may not remain given the drafting of Whitney Marcilus in the first round but with Mario Williams now gone Barwin is likely to be retained if possible.</p>
<p>The big hit will come in 2014 with two very big contracts due to be sorted &#8211; defensive end Antonio Smith and inside linebacker Brian Cushing. Smith got big money when he signed his current contract in 2009 for $35.5 million with $12.5 million of that guaranteed. His new contract could be up to the $40 million range by now. The big hit is going to come from Cushing&#8217;s contract as until now he has been paid rookie money and now is due for a massive payrise. His $14 million deal he signed as a rookie will likely jump to a deal similar to what the Texans will need to pay Smith and this is going to be a big drain on Houston&#8217;s cap.</p>
<p>So where does this leave Schaub?</p>
<p>Unfortunately for both Houston and for Schaub himself &#8211; he has indicated he&#8217;d like to stay if possible &#8211; these numbers likely mean that Schaub will be gone from the Houston Texans come the 2013 season. When it comes down to it, Schaub has had plenty of injury issues which will make him a risk for the future. The injury he is currently rehabbing &#8211; a lisfranc fracture in his foot &#8211; is one that commonly produces more problems and can only be managed rather than fully healed.</p>
<p>You look at his likely cap number &#8211; likely to be at least $10 million &#8211; and when you consider the other contracts Houston has to dish out this could be put to better use elsewhere. Then you look at the offensive strategy Houston has engaged in lately. This is a running team that will live and die by it&#8217;s running game &#8211; speaking of which, #2 running back Ben Tate is another due to become a free agent in 2014 and will be pursued &#8211; and because of this the quarterback position doesn&#8217;t need an elite player but rather just needs a professional player. This team is one who could get by with a veteran quarterback similar to Kyle Orton, Jason Campbell etc.</p>
<p>The final factor in this equation is perhaps most crucial of all &#8211; the interest from other teams in Schaub is likely to be exceptional. There are a number of teams out there that are still looking for a quarterback and there likely will be a few more by the end of this season with team like Buffalo, San Francisco, Kansas City and Tampa Bay to name a few having suspect quarterbacks. If Schaub were to hit the market, he will definitely be overvalued. It would not surprise me in the slightest to see a bidding war that approaches $13-15 million per year. The temptation of this could also be a factor in Schaub&#8217;s departure.</p>
<p>Should the 2013 season roll around and Matt Schaub isn&#8217;t on the Houston Texans, I won&#8217;t be surprised and now neither will you because <em>You Heard It Here First</em>.</p>
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