Nov 25, 2012; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler (6) tries to evade Minnesota Vikings linebacker Chad Greenway (52) during the second half at Soldier Field. The Bears won 28-10. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Wierzbicki-US PRESSWIRE

This week 13 match-up is between two of the better stories in the NFL this season. The Chicago Bears have the best record in the NFC North and are trying to distance themselves from the Green Bay Packers and try and secure a first round bye in the postseason.

The Seahawks on the other hand are just trying to stay in the final wildcard spot after suffering a tough loss to the Miami Dolphins last Sunday in a game that they very well should have won.

This game is one of the closer contests of the week, as it should be. Here are the results from AccuScore based on 10,000 Simulations.

• In the 10,000 simulations, Chicago won 51% of the time, whereas the Seahawks won 48% of the time. The other 1% were ties.
• If the Seahawks are on the positive end of the turnover margin then they win 70% of the time. If the Bears win the turnover battle, then they win 80% of the time.
• If Marshawn Lynch can rush for more than 71 yards, the Seahawks chances of winning jumps to 74%. If Matt Forte rushes for more, then the Bears’ odds go to 75%
• With Matt Forte questionable, Michael Bush is expected to get a lot of the carries. If he can average at least 4 yards per carry, the Bears are 65% favorites
• If Seattle can sack Bears QB Jay Cutler at least 4 times, there chances of winning are solid 60%. However, if they can’t sack Cutler, there chances of winning fall to only 35%
• AccuScore is 7-4 with Seahawks projections this year. They are 6-5 for the Bears.

The game is a very close projection with the Bears just a 52% favorite. Both teams have a lot on the line, but I think the Seahawks come through in a game to help solidify their playoff position.

Prediction: Seahawks 27 Bears 20

The Bills are falling fast after such high expectations to start the year, and the Jaguars are one of the NFL’s worst teams. Nonetheless, AccuScore has run its simulation 10,000 times for this contest, and finds the Bills as one of the bigger favorites this week.

Here are the results:

• If Jacksonville out-gains Buffalo in the running game, they become the 55% favorite to win. However, if C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson rush for more than the Jaguars, they become the 84% favorite for the game.
• If Chad Henne can throw for at least 250 yards, 2 TD, and no interceptions, then the Jaguars are a slight favorite at 54%
• If Buffalo has a positive turnover margin, they are favored at 82% to win the game. They have a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit
• C.J. Spiller has a 31% chance of scoring at least one rushing touchdown
• Overall the Bills are a 67% favorite to win on Sunday afternoon and will move to 5-7 on the season while dropping the Jaguars to 2-10.

The Jags passing game has been explosive the past two weeks whereas the Bills running game continues to be near the top of the league.

I actually expect a high-scoring affair with the Bills coming out on top.

Accuscore Prediction (Based on 10,000 simulations): Bills 24 Jaguars 18

My Prediction: Bills 35 Jaguars 31