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2022 NFL picks, score predictions for Week 18

Sayre Bedinger
Sayre Bedinger

NFL Spin Zone

NFL Picks; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) celebrates scoring a touchdown with tight end Tyler Davis (84) against the Minnesota Vikings in the fourth quarter of their game at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Dan Powers-USA TODAY Sports

Somehow, we have already reached Week 18 of the 2022 NFL regular season. It’s already going to be the second Sunday in January 2023, but the 2022 season is not yet complete. Thanks to the NFL adding an additional Wild Card spot in the playoffs for each conference, this week’s slate of games will be absolutely loaded with intrigue and drama.

We’ve got an AFC South title game between the Titans and Jaguars on Saturday. The Packers have a win-and-in situation against the Lions, who are also still alive in the playoff race. While many teams have been eliminated, there is still going to be plenty of jockeying for playoff positioning.

So who is winning in Week 18 of the 2022 season? Let’s take another stab at making NFL picks and predictions for one final time this regular season. Next week, the playoffs. This past week, we were 11-4 in straight-up picks from Week 17.

Editor’s note: All of these game picks were made prior to Monday night’s suspended game between the Bills and Bengals. It’s impossible to know, at this point, what the NFL is going to plan for Week 18 action but nothing matters by comparison to the life of Bills safety Damar Hamlin. Our thoughts and prayers are with Damar, his family, and everyone impacted. 

2022 NFL picks and score predictions for Week 18

NFL picks
NFL picks; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass during the second half against the Denver Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) at Las Vegas Raiders (6-10)

Saturday, January 7, 4:30 PM ET

I’ll be the first to admit that the Raiders gave a much better fight in Week 17 with Jarrett Stidham at the quarterback position than I anticipated. The fact that they scored 34 points on the no. 1 defense in the NFL — a defense that hasn’t allowed more than 20 points since October 23, 2022 — should be lost on no one.

Jarrett Stidham may have honestly played his way into relevance for 2023 but we’re going to need to see another week of that before jumping to any conclusions.

So the Raiders played inspired for a week, what does that really mean? The Kansas City Chiefs are coming to town in Week 18 and all the Raiders can do at this point is play spoiler and evaluate for the future. Can they beat Kansas City, who has the top seed in the AFC on the line?

I’m not betting on it.

The Chiefs have had some close calls in recent weeks, most recently being their most recent game against the Denver Broncos in which they were a fourth down conversion away from at least letting the Broncos in position to tie this past weekend. Although the Chiefs have played it close in some recent games, the safe bet is that they’re going to take care of business in Week 18 on the road.

Prediction: Chiefs win 27-21

NFL picks
NFL picks; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) throws the ball during the third quarter against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

Tennessee Titans (7-9) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-8)

Saturday, January 7, 8:15 PM ET

Here it is — the AFC South championship. Who could have dreamed just a few weeks ago that we would be in this position?

Oh, that’s right. We dreamed it. We’ve spoken it into existence week by week here in these NFL picks and it all comes down to this. Are we actually going to get Doug Pederson, Trevor Lawrence, and the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2022-23 NFL postseason?

It would be glorious fun.

With all due respect to Mike Vrabel and the Titans, their presence in the playoffs would be boring bordering on uninteresting, and unwatchable. The Titans have been very bad in the second half of the 2022 NFL season, and this is just not a playoff team right now. The Jaguars, on the other hand, have played like a playoff team in the second half of the season.

Trevor Lawrence has been white-hot. The Jaguars’ skill players have been stepping up and making some clutch plays. They’ve allowed just six total points in their last two games.

They have won four straight and five of the six games they’ve played coming out of the bye week.

If the Jaguars can find a way to win this game, they will win the AFC South and will add a ton of intrigue into the playoff picture in the AFC. Who would want to play the team that’s won five straight going into the postseason?

Again, with all due respect to the Titans, everyone outside of Titan fans wants to see what Trevor Lawrence can do with a playoff opportunity. The Jaguars have one game left to take care of business and their fate is in their hands.

Besides, who are the Titans going to trot out at QB for this game? It would be horrendous for the NFL if the Titans reach the postseason instead of Jacksonville at this point.

Prediction: Jaguars win 27-17

NFL picks
NFL picks: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers screams in celebration after rushing for a touchdown during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Carolina Panthers at Raymond James Stadium on January 1, 2023 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) at Atlanta Falcons (6-10)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

The Buccaneers somehow found a way to do it, didn’t they? They defied the odds from just a couple of weeks ago, and they managed to fend off the rest of the teams in the NFC South as they struggled to 8-8 and a division title.

One way or another, Tom Brady is back in the playoffs. The man is inevitable.

Now that the Bucs are back in the playoffs, they have a clean slate. They obviously aren’t going to be anybody’s betting favorite to win it all this year but once you punch your ticket to the dance, really anything can happen in the postseason.

And having Tom Brady on your side is obviously a huge bonus.

What does that mean for the Bucs’ Week 18 matchup against the Atlanta Falcons? Well, all of what I previously said likely means we’re going to see Blaine Gabbert, who has recently made some headlines for heroism off the field

https://twitter.com/Buccaneers/status/1608880375421407233

Or perhaps if it’s not Blaine Gabbert, maybe we’ll get a look at Kyle Trask starting for the Bucs. One way or another, this game could either be wildly entertaining or it could be a barn burner.

The Falcons, playing at home, have nothing to play for but they are in evaluation mode with Desmond Ridder. The rookie still has not thrown a touchdown pass in three NFL games played. That’s got to happen at some point, right?

Since the Bucs are probably going to rest starters and coast into the postseason, let’s see Ridder go off and have some fun in this one.

Prediction: Falcons win 22-17

NFL picks
NFL picks; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) throws the ball against the Miami Dolphins during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (8-8) at Buffalo Bills (12-3)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

Editor’s note: This game preview was written before Monday night’s Bills-Bengals matchup in Cincinnati. It’s unknown at this point if or when this game will be played after what transpired on Monday night with Bills safety Damar Hamlin. Once again, this game — or any game, for that matter — means nothing in comparison to his life. Our prayers are with him and his family.

Perhaps it’s not just Tom Brady that’s inevitable when it comes to the NFL playoffs. Perhaps Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots are as well. The Patriots found a way to make it to the playoffs last season with Mac Jones earning a Pro Bowl nod in his rookie season.

Given the fact that this team just feels so bland on paper, especially offensively, expectations from the outside looking in were tempered, and I believe that was absolutely fair. Yet here the Patriots are once again. They are 8-8 and if the season were over right now, they’d be in the postseason. How about that?

Now, this team does deserve a ton of credit. They have a top-five scoring defense, they have forced 27 turnovers (2nd-best in the NFL this season), and they have won eight games despite playing Bailey Zappe for a stretch of the season (remember that?).

If they want to keep themselves in the playoffs, the Patriots are going to have to go into Buffalo and get the job done. The Bills have been one of the best teams all season in the NFL and they are still jockeying for positioning atop the AFC right now.

With a loss, the Patriots are in danger of giving up their playoff spot to a team like the Steelers or they could even give it back to the Dolphins, the team they just beat this past weekend.

For NFL picks, I just don’t have faith that the Patriots are going into Buffalo and getting a win against Josh Allen and the Bills, as strong as New England’s defense has been this season and as many turnovers as they have created.

Prediction: Bills win 26-20

NFL Picks
NFL Picks: Justin Fields #1 of the Chicago Bears scrambles during the first quarter in the game against the Detroit Lions at Ford Field on January 01, 2023 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)

Minnesota Vikings (12-4) at Chicago Bears (3-13)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

You can’t put a blemish on your perfect 11-0 record in one-score games if you get blown out. I see what the Vikings were doing there.

The Vikings, in all seriousness, are coming off of a huge loss to the Green Bay Packers this past week. They have been flirting with “disaster” nearly every single week this season but the Vikings, to their credit, have been able to finish tight games better than just about any team in the NFL. The biggest question about this team at this point is whether or not they are as “fraudulent” as many NFL fans and pundits would have you believe.

I tend to have one foot in both camps. On one hand, the Vikings have such explosive pieces offensively that you can’t count this team out of any game. They can win shootouts and we’ve seen them prove that.

On the other hand, how do you win all 11 of your one-possession games? Sometimes in the NFL, it’s better to be lucky than just good. For a frame of reference of just how amazing it is that the Vikings are where they are today, consider that while they have won 11 one-score games, the Denver Broncos have been in 12 one-score games and are 3-9 in those games.

The Vikings are near the top of the NFC right now with a matchup against one of the league’s most dynamic quarterbacks and one of its worst defenses in Chicago. I’m sure the Bears would love to end this season on a high note but also, this team would love to be in control of the NFL Draft and have the top pick if at all possible.

Prediction: Vikings win 28-21

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh reacts during the second half against the Pittsburgh Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Baltimore Ravens (10-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-4)

Sunday, January 8 (Game time TBD)

Editor’s note: This game preview was written prior to the Bengals’ Monday night game against the Buffalo Bills. At this point in time, it’s uncertain whether this game (or any other) will be played as scheduled in Week 18. Our thoughts are first and foremost with Bills safety Damar Hamlin and his family as well as Bengals receiver Tee Higgins, who was involved in the play.

Alright, so when is Lamar Jackson going to play again?

At this point, wouldn’t the Ravens just be smarter to wait until the playoffs to bring Jackson back? John Harbaugh told the media on Monday that he doesn’t know if Jackson’s going to practice this week. The reason this question keeps getting asked is because nobody has heard anything regarding if or when Jackson is going to practice again this season.

What if he doesn’t even come back for the playoffs?

That would be bizarre, but the vibe of this is feeling more like “holdout” and less like Lamar really dealing with a serious injury. Perhaps the Ravens are just being coy. Perhaps they just feel confident enough in their operation to afford Jackson all the time he needs to be comfortable being himself.

But in a contract year, this is certainly something worth monitoring. The Ravens won’t be catching the Bengals in the AFC North this year, but they might see each other in the postseason. As of right now, it just feels like the Ravens are completely overmatched by Cincinnati.

The Bengals have made their case all season long as arguably the best team in the AFC, right there with teams like Buffalo and Kansas City. I suppose everyone should have expected that after the Bengals nearly won themselves a Super Bowl last year, right?

I think the Bengals end the regular season on a high note

Prediction: Bengals win 28-20

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Los Angeles Chargers running back Austin Ekeler (30) celebrates after a touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams in the first half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) at Denver Broncos (4-12)

Sunday, January 8, 4:25 PM ET

The Los Angeles Chargers are going to the playoffs for the first time in Justin Herbert’s NFL career, and you can’t help but be excited about that. Simply for entertainment purposes, the Chargers being in the playoffs is very good for the NFL. Herbert is one of the league’s biggest stars, but he’s unfortunately not treated the same way by major media outlets as someone like Patrick Mahomes, and really for no good reason.

Herbert may not do no-look passes every week. He may not be completing passes to himself. What he is doing on a weekly basis is making ridiculous throws to every level of the field and his team is playing some really good football down the stretch.

And “team” is key there. It’s not just Herbert carrying the Chargers and proving unable to do so. It’s Austin Ekeler racking up over 1,500 scrimmage yards and 18 total touchdowns just one year after racking up over 1,500 with 20 total touchdowns. He eclipsed 100 receptions on the season and has proven himself to be one of the most dangerous offensive weapons in the game.

Speaking of weapons, the Chargers boast a balanced group of skill players and they have gotten healthy at the right time. They go into Denver this weekend to face off against the Broncos who are now being led by interim head coach Jerry Rosburg.

After getting blown out on Christmas, the Broncos fired Nathaniel Hackett and turned the operation over to Rosburg. He had the team playing very well in Kansas City this past weekend so we have no reason to believe the Broncos are just going to roll over in this game. We also don’t really know what the Chargers are playing for this week. They will be no better than the 5th seed in the AFC, and perhaps that’s something they really covet.

Unfortunately, we don’t know what the fifth seed would mean in terms of a second-round matchup. It would likely give the Chargers a round-one matchup against the AFC South champion Jaguars, however.

The NFL playoffs are going to be fun.

I think for this week, this will be my upset pick of the week. The Broncos don’t yet have a win against a divisional opponent this year, and they’ve sort of had Herbert’s number since he came into the league.

Prediction: Broncos win 24-21 (upset pick of the week)

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) walks off the field following the game against the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Lions (8-8) at Green Bay Packers (8-8)

Sunday, January 8, 8:20 PM ET

Football is fun. Just a few weeks ago, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers was on The Pat McAfee Show talking about how the Packers weren’t out of it when it seemed like they very much were. The calm, collected, back-to-back MVP has put his team back in position to make some noise here in January, with one big knee-biting barrier standing in his way.

The Detroit Lions.

The Lions have been one of the most fun NFL teams all season long. They are capable of scoring in bunches and they are playing galvanized here in the second half of the 2022 season. Unfortunately, they lost one too many games before facing this daunting task to end the 2022 season.

The Lions have to travel to Green Bay to face the Packers with both teams in a must-win situation. This is simply not the type of environment the Lions have succeeded in in the past. If Dan Campbell’s crew is able to go into Green Bay and win this weekend, he probably deserves Coach of the Year honors.

Not that the Packers are undefeated world-beaters or anything, but there’s so much stacked against Detroit in this game. The Packers are hot and they are more experienced in these kinds of situations. Not that everyone is hoping the Packers lose this game, but it would be a ton of fun to see Detroit get into the playoffs.

In order for that to happen, they would need to win and they would also need Seattle to lose. The Packers win and they’re in. As far as making NFL picks for this week, I’m taking the back-to-back MVP on his home field in a must-win situation. But the Lions will fight to the end.

Prediction: Packers win 27-23

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Indianapolis Colts head coach Jeff Saturday reacts during the second half against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans (2-13-1) at Indianapolis Colts (4-11-1)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

In a week full of games with NFL playoff implications, you have the Texans vs. Colts matchup. So this matchup has nothing to do with the postseason, what gives?

What reason should anyone have for tuning in?

Well, for starters, the Texans have a chance to secure the no. 1 overall pick with a loss to the Colts in this game. Is Lovie Smith going to get out-coached by Jeff Saturday, though?

The Colts want better draft positioning as well. If they can lose this game and the Denver Broncos can somehow find a way to win against the Chargers, the Colts could be picking in the top four instead of fifth or sixth. If their goal is to get one of Bryce Young or CJ Stroud, are they already out of range? Perhaps not.

Let’s look at a best-case scenario for a team like the Texans this week.

They finish the season on a high note, winning a divisional road game against the Colts and still end up with the no. 1 pick in the 2023 NFL Draft thanks to a Chicago Bears loss to the Minnesota Vikings elsewhere in the NFC.

For the Colts, the best-case scenario is going to be that third overall pick. Winning against the Texans this weekend? It means nothing to them except a worse shot at the QB (or prospect, in general) they covet most in the 2023 NFL Draft class.

If the Colts are picking third overall in the 2023 Draft, it all but guarantees them one of Bryce Young, CJ Stroud, Will Anderson Jr., or Will Levis. Perhaps Jalen Carter as well. If they are picking fifth or sixth in the 2023 NFL Draft, well, you do the math. We know the Bears aren’t taking a QB, so we’ll probably see only one QB off the board between Houston and Chicago at the top of this draft.

That’s a long-winded way for NFL picks purposes to say I think Houston is winning this game.

Prediction: Texans win 23-16

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Miami Dolphins quarterback Teddy Bridgewater (5) throws the ball against the New England Patriots during the first half at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

New York Jets (7-9) at Miami Dolphins (8-8)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

The poor New York Jets have kept their nightmare of a streak alive. This team isn’t going to the playoffs for 12 straight years now. It’s just brutal, especially considering there was a point there during the season when the Jets looked like one of the best teams in the NFL, and legitimately so.

Remember, this team was winning with Zach Wilson at the QB position. It was really the injury in Denver to running back Breece Hall that crushed this Jets’ offense and took away one of the team’s best shots to end the playoff drought in years.

Alas, we enter Week 18 action with the Jets having lost five straight games and the Miami Dolphins not much better. In fact, not any better. The Dolphins have also lost five straight games, but they had luckily won one more game than the Jets prior to both of these teams going on horribly timed losing streaks.

While the Jets can’t end their streak of missing the playoffs this season, the Dolphins can still get to the postseason with a little bit of help. There’s only one available playoff spot in the AFC outside of the AFC South championship game on Saturday, and it looks like it could very well come down to one of two AFC East teams.

Miami Dolphins playoff scenario in Week 18

  • Dolphins win AND
  • Patriots lose to Bills

So, if the Patriots win this weekend in Buffalo, the Dolphins can forget about it and the duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, one of the most exciting receiver duos in the game today, will be watching the postseason from home.

Miami absolutely has to win against the Jets or they’re out pretty much regardless. There’s no room for error in Week 18. The question is, what’s the situation with Tua Tagovailoa and how is that going to impact the Dolphins going up against a Jets team whose sole purpose now is to ruin at least one of their division rival’s playoff hopes?

Prediction: Dolphins win 20-16

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; New Orleans Saints defensive end Cameron Jordan (94) celebrates a stop on 4th down against the Philadelphia Eagles during the fourth quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Carolina Panthers (7-9) at New Orleans Saints (7-9)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

You’ve got to tip your cap to both the Panthers and the Saints for staying in the playoff race as long as they both did. Perhaps especially when you look at the Carolina Panthers and the job Steve Wilks has done since taking over for Matt Rhule earlier in the season.

Since Wilks took over, the Panthers have reemerged as a potential playoff team in the NFC and had they been able to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday…

Unfortunately, they just didn’t have enough in the tank. Three turnovers and nearly 500 yards allowed defensively did the Panthers in this season.

The Saints, on the other hand, lost their shot at the playoffs despite beating arguably the best team in the NFL. Okay, the Eagles didn’t have Jalen Hurts, but still…

The Saints took it to the Eagles on Sunday to the tune of 20-10. Regardless of the opponents they have faced, Dennis Allen’s crew deserves some credit for winning all three games coming out of the bye and at least staying playoff-relevant to the bitter end.

How do you approach this game from an NFL picks perspective now that both teams are eliminated? That’s a great question.

The Panthers have scored 24-plus points in three of their last four games. Sam Darnold, coming off the injured reserve list, has thrown for 1,100 yards and seven touchdowns in five games with just one interception. Unfortunately, his turnover problem reared its ugly head in the Panthers’ loss to the Bucs where he threw his first pick of the season and fumbled three times, losing two.

Will the Saints, winners of three straight, pick on Darnold defensively? Can Darnold finish the season strong and boost his free agent value? Can Steve Wilks continue to make his case to be back as Panthers head coach in 2023 and beyond?

Prediction: Panthers win 24-20

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; New York Giants head coach Brian Daboll greets quarterback Daniel Jones (8) after a rushing touchdown during the second half against the Indianapolis Colts at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

New York Giants (9-6-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-3)

Sunday, January 8, 4:25 PM ET

This NFC East matchup to close out the 2022-23 regular season is about as fascinating as it gets. These are two teams that have locked up playoff spots, but the Eagles need to win to maintain home-field advantage. Do we think having a solidified playoff spot is going to cause Brian Daboll to shut down any of his best players as the Giants prep for a potential playoff run? As of now, it doesn’t sound like it.

I’m not so sure, though. The goal for these two teams should be to reach the playoffs completely intact, yet the Eagles have to fend off teams like San Francisco and Dallas right now to make sure they are hosting games throughout the playoffs. That no. 1 seed in the NFC is still up for grabs.

Are they willing to put Jalen Hurts out there in Week 18 to take that risk, or will they be content to let their depth try and get them to the playoffs? Whether or not the Eagles are the top seed, if they risk Hurts aggravating an injury that has now kept him out of two games, it could cost them the playoffs anyway.

Their best chance might be to simply ride it out with Gardner Minshew, hope the Giants are satisfied with just making the playoffs and rest starters on both sides of the ball. Again, that doesn’t seem to be the case, which certainly makes for a confusing game for NFL picks.

Not knowing whether or not Hurts will play certainly complicates the pick, but here’s what I’ll say — if the Eagles are rolling out Minshew and the Giants play that starting defense, that’s a unit you don’t want to see right now.

Things could change between now and the weekend, but Giants head coach Brian Daboll is saying he’s not resting starters this weekend. Therefore, I’m taking that attacking, physical Giants defense on the road.

Prediction: Giants win 24-23

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett (8) throws against Baltimore Ravens defensive end Brent Urban (97) during the first half at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jessica Rapfogel-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Browns (7-9) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8)

Sunday, January 8, 1:00 PM ET

Mike Tomlin.

That’s it.

Mike Tomlin is flat-out one of the best coaches in the NFL right now and the job he’s done with this young Pittsburgh Steelers core in 2022 has been nothing short of outstanding.

Tomlin is a Hall of Fame coach, there’s no doubt about it, and his team has been able to endure losing TJ Watt for half of the season, growing pains at QB, injuries at QB, trading away Chase Claypool, and ranking dead last with 10 touchdown passes from QBs in 2022.

The Cleveland Browns aren’t in playoff contention but they have won four of their last six games and three of the five that Deshaun Watson has started. Watson hasn’t been playing great, by any means, but he had three touchdowns and no interceptions in Cleveland’s win this past weekend over Washington.

Right now though, I’m not betting against Mike Tomlin’s crew with the way they’ve been playing. They deserve a ton of credit for their resilience this season and although they don’t score in bunches, that’s a team that knows how to take the ball away and play four quarters of tough defense, especially this time of year.

Prediction: Steelers win 21-17

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) reacts after getting first down against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Arizona Cardinals (4-12) at San Francisco 49ers (12-4)

Sunday, January 8, 4:25 PM ET

The San Francisco 49ers might just be the hottest team in the NFL right now, and shockingly so. Kyle Shanahan’s crew has now won nine straight games. It’s hard to believe this was ever a 3-4 team but I’m old enough to remember when some on Twitter were actually talking about Shanahan getting fired at the end of the season.

As silly as all that talk was, it’s perhaps even more “unrealistic” for the 49ers to be in the position they are currently in. That’s a major reason why Shanahan should be the NFL coach of the year. He’s got Brock Purdy operating the offense at a high level after having to call upon Jimmy Garoppolo when Trey Lance went down with a season-ending injury.

The trade for Christian McCaffrey was about as fortuitous as you could ask for during the season. McCaffrey has been a legitimate offensive MVP candidate throughout his career, but staying healthy has been tough these last couple of years. Fortunately for the 49ers, who have been hit hard in some spots by injuries, he’s been every bit the Christian McCaffrey we know and love this season.

McCaffrey has three games in his last four with over 100 yards rushing. He has a chance to eclipse 2,000 yards from scrimmage this season with a big game against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 18 as the 49ers pursue the top seed in the NFC.

And that’s not out of reach.

If the 49ers win and the Eagles lose this week? The 49ers will have the top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.

Not bad for a team that was 3-4 earlier this year, wondering how they would fare after turning to Jimmy Garoppolo, and then having to make a major adjustment once again when Garoppolo suffered an injury. The job being done by Kyle Shanahan and his staff cannot be talked about enough.

NFL Picks
NFL Picks; Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll, left, talks with quarterback Geno Smith (7) during a fourth quarter timeout against the New York Jets at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Rams (5-11) at Seattle Seahawks (8-8)

Sunday, January 8, 4:25 PM ET

After getting off to one of the hottest starts of any team in the NFL this season, the Seattle Seahawks have experienced a bit of a collapse in the second half. They are 2-5 in their last seven games after starting the year 6-3, but there have been a ton of positives for Seattle this season, especially when you compare what they’ve done against expectations going into the year.

Of course, after trading Russell Wilson, most people saw the Seahawks with a training camp QB battle between Geno Smith and Drew Lock as one of the least enviable situations in the league.

Geno Smith won the battle and wound up making the Pro Bowl. He’s thrown for over 4,000 yards with 29 touchdowns and nine interceptions heading into Week 18 action.

And the Seahawks have to win this game in order to have a shot at playing for something in the postseason. Again, given the expectations many had for this team going into the year, that would be bordering on the biggest shock of the 2022 season.

Standing in the Seahawks’ way this week are the Los Angeles Rams, who are 5-11 and one of the most beaten and battered teams in the NFL. The Rams have been giving Baker Mayfield an audition for the last handful of weeks and they’ve had some mixed results. The former Heisman winner and number one pick has had two pretty fantastic games for Sean McVay and two pretty bad ones.

Most recently, Mayfield and the Rams were blown out by the Chargers after absolutely wrecking the Broncos on Christmas.

Can the Rams pull off the upset here? For straight up NFL picks, I don’t think that’s a wise call to make even if you consider there might be some animosity from Mayfield toward the Seahawks for not trading for him during the 2022 offseason.

Although I think the Rams could give Seattle some fits, it might only last three quarters and I think the Seahawks will pull this one off.

Prediction: Seahawks win 24-20

NFL picks
NFL picks; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) looks to pass against the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter at Nissan Stadium Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn.Nfl Dallas Cowboys At Tennessee Titans

Dallas Cowboys (12-4) at Washington Commanders (7-8-1)

Sunday, January 8, 4:25 PM ET

Are the Dallas Cowboys going to swoop in on that no. 1 seed in the NFC playoff race? Never say “never”, especially with the way the 2022 NFL season has gone thus far. Expecting the unexpected has borderline become the norm.

The Cowboys are fresh off of a borderline gimme win against the Tennessee Titans this past week as the Titans benched a handful of key players in anticipation of their AFC South title game here in Week 18 of the season. Let’s take a look at what Dallas needs in order to earn the no. 1 seed in the NFC this weekend.

Dallas Cowboys can be the no. 1 seed in the NFC with:

  • A win vs. Washington
  • Eagles loss
  • 49ers loss

Now, that’s quite a tall order and it starts with taking care of business against the Commanders, who have lost all hope over the last three weeks. For a bit, it looked like the Commanders were going to get into the playoff one pair of vintage Air Jordan shoes at a time, but their playoff hopes ended with their latest loss.

Now, it could be Sam Howell time for the Commanders. At least, it would be wise for them to get a look at the talented rookie out of North Carolina. If the Commanders are in evaluation mode, this could go one of two ways:

Either Howell will come out and look like an absolute stud, causing every Commanders fan to wonder why he hasn’t been playing, or…

The Cowboys will just run them out of the building quickly and take care of business. If I were betting on this game, I would feel pretty confident picking the Cowboys as they pursue both the NFC East title as well as the no. 1 overall seed.

Prediction: Cowboys win 27-16

Sayre Bedinger

Sayre Bedinger

Sayre Bedinger is a site expert for FanSided who has covered the Denver Broncos since 2013. Sayre's Broncos fandom developed after his grandparents relocated to Estes Park, CO during the John Elway glory days, and that passion for the team has resulted in many years and thousands of articles covering the team. Sayre is also the site co-expert of FanSided's NFL Spin Zone, providing coverage of the entire league. He is also a contributor for FanSided's Lombardi Ave (Packers), The Landry Hat (Cowboys), and a number of other local sites covering NFL teams. Sayre was inducted into the FanSided Hall of Fame in 2017. He is also the co-host of the Locked On Broncos Podcast and has been featured as a regular contributor on Bleacher Report. Sayre is a Disney World fanatic who hopes to take his family on trips there multiple times a year.