The first 10 weeks of the 2024 NFL season have come and gone and it's time for things to really start heating up. We're officially into the territory of the season where the stakes are being raised every single week and we're going to start seeing some incredible playoff-type atmospheres, even with the playoffs a couple of months a week.
The NFL schedule in Week 11 is looking rather incredible, starting off with a bang on Thursday Night Football. We've got a few outstanding divisional matchups (starting with Commanders-Eagles) and this week obviously includes everyone's most anticipated game -- maybe of the entire season so far: Chiefs vs. Bills.
We're going to pick this week's winners and losers and take a look at some key storylines, matchups, and the initial spread for each game. Who is winning in Week 11?
Week 11 teams on BYE: Giants, Cardinals, Buccaneers, Panthers
2024 NFL Picks and Score Predictions for Week 11
Washington Commanders (7-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-2)
Thursday, November 14, 8:15 PM ET
The Washington Commanders are coming off of a rough loss in Week 10 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. And it wasn’t rough because they got blown out, but it’s one of those losses that causes you to lose sleep at night.
They had a shot. Maybe a couple of shots.
Despite the outcome of the game, going toe-to-toe with the Pittsburgh Steelers proved that this Washington Commanders team is a lot better than many of us have given them credit for being. And this week, they are facing their biggest test yet.
On a quest to go from worst to first, the Commanders are going to have to deal with their division rival Philadelphia Eagles on a short week. And the Eagles are fresh off of a blowout win against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 10.
This is going to be such a fun game to watch because it features two of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the NFL right now in Commanders rookie Jayden Daniels and Eagles star Jalen Hurts. The Eagles are 3.5-point home favorites here and that feels pretty on point given how competitive you expect this game to be.
I’m going to take the Eagles by four.
Prediction: Eagles win 27-23
Green Bay Packers (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-5)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
The Chicago Bears are starting to free-fall a little bit and it doesn’t seem like things are going to get better anytime soon.
Bears head coach Matt Eberflus was asked after Chicago’s ugly loss to the New England Patriots whether or not he was going to make a change at offensive coordinator off of Shane Waldron, and he didn’t take that option off the table.
So, we’ll see, but the Bears having some serious unrest in the offensive play-calling department couldn’t be coming at a worse time because they have a home game against the Green Bay Packers in Week 11. And the Packers have had one of the most productive defenses in the NFL this season when it comes to getting after the quarterback and causing turnovers.
Caleb Williams took a whopping nine sacks against the New England Patriots. The Packers might be due for a pre-Thanksgiving feast in Chicago on Sunday.
Green Bay is favored by a pretty staggering 6.5 points on Sunday in Chicago and it’s understandable. The Packers have been one of the NFL’s most complete teams this season when they’ve been at their best, and they’re coming off of a bye this week so they’ll be refreshed and ready to rock.
The Bears are going to have to do everything they can to avoid getting kicked while they’re down by a team that has had time now to recover and prepare for a couple of weeks. I could see this being bad for Chicago. The Bears’ playmakers are going to need to step up in a big way.
Prediction: Packers win 28-20
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) @ Detroit Lions (8-1)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
The Jacksonville Jaguars have been one of the most disappointing teams in the entire NFL this season, and they might be running away with that award at this point.
Doug Pederson is probably going to lose his job at this rate. The Jaguars have a quarterback that just got paid one of the biggest contracts in NFL history and he’s not exactly living up to his end of that deal.
At this rate, the Jaguars are actually trending more toward earning the #1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft after holding it in both 2021 and 2022 already. What is going to change the culture of this franchise? Everyone hoped it would be a quarterback prospect the caliber of Trevor Lawrence, and he definitely showed flashes. Everyone thought having a Super Bowl-winning coach like Pederson could be the ticket, but it just hasn’t panned out.
Years of top-10 NFL Draft picks haven’t set the Jags up any better.
And they’re staring directly in the face of a ninth loss this season with a road trip in Week 11 to face off against the Detroit Lions. The Lions got taken to the wire against another AFC South team (Houston) this past week, but this game against the Jaguars could be a walk in the park by comparison.
Even a close win like we saw from the Lions against Houston in which Detroit didn’t play very well could refocus that team and get them back on the trajectory they were previously on. The Lions have been one of the best teams in the NFL all season and they are getting one of the “easiest” wins they could ask for at this stage of the season. They’re favored by 12.5 points and even that might not be generous enough.
Prediction: Lions win 34-17
Minnesota Vikings (7-2) @ Tennessee Titans (2-7)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
It’s pretty wild what happened in Week 10 with a couple of NFC North teams. Jared Goff threw a whopping five interceptions against the Houston Texans and the Lions somehow found a way to win the game. Sam Darnold threw a meager three interceptions by comparison (with no touchdowns) and his Vikings somehow still found a way to beat the Jaguars.
Now, the Vikings are set to face off against yet another AFC South team in Week 11 and it feels like the AFC South teams just can’t help themselves right now. It’s the worst division in football and when you have that kind of margin for error in games (a combined eight interceptions from winning quarterbacks) the results sort of speak for themselves.
The Vikings don’t need to play a perfect game in order to beat the Tennessee Titans. The Titans are still and NFL team, they still get paid, and they have playmakers, but they are going to have a really tough time dealing with Minnesota’s offensive arsenal.
The Titans made it a game for a while against the Chargers and I do believe it’s possible that they could upset the Vikings if Minnesota is careless with the ball again. Sam Darnold has five interceptions over his last two games and the Titans are going to be eager to build off of some of the success they had offensively with Will Levis back in the lineup.
The Vikings are favored by 6.5 points on the road in this game and this one could come down to simply which QB is able to make fewer mistakes. I actually have a sneaking suspicion that the Titans are going to find a way to pull off an upset this week. Calvin Ridley and Tony Pollard have been making plays this season.
There’s only so much Justin Jefferson and the Vikings’ skill players can do if Sam Darnold keeps throwing the ball to the other team. At some point, that luck will run out.
Prediction: Titans win 24-23
Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) @ Miami Dolphins
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
I would say this game is on track to be the “dud” of the week but this is kind of an important game when it comes to 2025 NFL Draft implications.
Let’s start by talking about the Las Vegas Raiders, who may very well be the worst team in the NFL right now. There’s no question that when it comes to overall quarterback situation, the Raiders are in the least enviable position of any NFL team. Well, that might be a bit of a stretch. You might take the Raiders’ situation over the $230 million mess that is Deshaun Watson or the mess the Giants are in with Daniel Jones.
It’s a little bit easier to move on from Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell.
The issue for the Raiders is that they probably felt like they were going to be a lot more competitive this year and it could cost some people their jobs.
Tom Brady has taken over a minority share of ownership of this franchise and we’re likely to see a major quarterback overhaul in his first official offseason with the team.
The Dolphins don’t have the same type of problem, but a major concern. Tua Tagovailoa feels like a ticking timebomb and everyone is watching him play, holding their breath every time he takes off to run or takes a hit.
The Dolphins do appear to be too far out of the mix this year to remain competitive even with nearly half the season remaining, but this is still an exciting offense and one of the most explosive in the NFL. The Dolphins could play spoiler plenty late this season.
Even with the Raiders coming off of a bye, the oddsmakers have the Dolphins as 6.5-point favorites.
Prediction: Dolphins win 26-16
Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots (3-7)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
Well how about the New England Patriots, eh?
The Patriots went on the road to face off against the Chicago Bears, and in a battle of two of this year’s top quarterback prospects, Drake Maye emerged victorious.
The Patriots put Caleb Williams on the ground nine times and hit him many other times besides. The defense of New England is the consistent reason to take pause before you just make a pick or prediction based on their record right now. It feels like they just have a few absolutely dominant games like that per year even when the team is “bad” overall.
But let’s give the Pats some credit. They went into Chicago as underdogs and the Bears have played well at home this year. They handed it to them.
This week, the Patriots have a different level of challenge on their hands with a Super Bowl-winning head coach/quarterback combo. The Los Angeles Rams are going to be trying to keep pace in the wide-open NFC West right now and they have so much to play for.
I don’t think the Rams are immune to losing at this point but they are one of those teams that I’m not comfortable betting against, even though they’re going on the road and even though Drake Maye is probably capable of having an “arrival” game at any point in time.
The Rams are going to have to maintain focus and not overlook the Patriots in this game, but I think they can get the job done. They are 5.5-point favorites in the early going this week. The Patriots are 1-3 so far this season while the Rams are 1-3 on the road.
Prediction: Rams win 23-19
Cleveland Browns (2-7) @ New Orleans Saints (3-7)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
I think we have our winner for “Dud of the Week” here in New Orleans entering Week 11. You want to talk about two teams with little to play for at this point?
Here they are.
The Saints are at least coming off of a win this past weekend against the Atlanta Falcons, one of the more surprising wins we’ve seen from any team lately. Not that the Falcons are unbeatable, but the Saints have really been down bad as of late and that win came out of left field.
For the time being, the Saints have stopped the bleeding. They’re going to have to stop their old pal Jameis Winston who is coming back to New Orleans as a member of the Cleveland Browns in Week 11.
Winston is leading the Cleveland Browns’ offense following the latest season-ending injury to Deshaun Watson, whose situation looms over this Browns franchise like the darkest cloud imaginable. How do we pick and project this game with so many intangible factors at play?
Well, let’s start with the fact that Derek Carr undoubtedly gives the Saints a better chance to win than Spencer Rattler or Jake Haener, and when Carr plays well, the Saints are a tough team to beat, especially in New Orleans. It’s going to require the Cleveland Browns to come out and force Carr to make a bunch of mistakes in order to get a win in this one.
Do they have the ability to keep up in the event of a shootout? Can Jameis Winston play mistake-free football on the road? Vegas isn’t sure what to make of this game either with the Saints early 1.5-point favorites.
Prediction: Saints win 24-20
Indianapolis Colts (4-6) @ New York Jets (3-7)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
In terms of the overall records of these two teams, this game doesn’t seem like much, but we have a pretty incredible storyline for this Jets-Colts mid-season tilt.
This is the Joe Flacco Bowl.
That’s right. Joe Flacco, now the quarterback of the playoff-hopeful Indianapolis Colts, has a chance to face off against one of his former teams and burst their playoff bubble completely. The only thing that stands in the way? An equally hungry Aaron Rodgers.
We need Matt Ryan and Mark Sanchez calling this game just to really make it interesting.
All kidding aside, this game is actually a pretty significant fork in the road for both the Colts and the Jets. The Colts want to desperately avoid getting that 7th loss this season while an 8th loss for the Jets would likely send them into a complete and utter tailspin. We just saw Aaron Rodgers get hurt in Sunday’s loss for the Jets against the Arizona Cardinals, so we’ll have to wait and see what his status will be for this matchup.
If you really just sit and ponder it, this is one of the saddest games of the week. Both the Colts and Jets have forsaken extremely high draft picks at the quarterback position for geriatric has-beens and it’s not working well at all. There was merit to the thought process at some point in time, but the further removed we are from the decisions to cut bait with the young guys, the closer we are to yet another complete QB overhaul for both of these teams.
Either way, one of these two squads is keeping their playoff hopes on life support for at least another week. As bad as they looked in Week 10, I’m taking the Jets at home.
Prediction: Jets win 22-17
Baltimore Ravens (7-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2)
Sunday, November 17, 1:00 PM ET
Alright, now here we’re getting to some real games for Week 11. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens coming together in a clash of AFC North titans with big-time playoff implications on the line.
A win will put one of these teams in the driver’s seat for the division while the loser is going to have to rebound quickly in Week 12. Vegas has the Ravens as 3.5-point road favorites in this one and that feels right, especially after the way we saw the Pittsburgh defense struggle a bit with the Washington Commanders on Sunday.
Any team is going to struggle to keep pace with the Baltimore Ravens at this point. They were down 21-7 in the middle of the 3rd quarter against the Bengals on Thursday and they still found a way to not only win the game but score 35 points. They scored 28 points in just over 1.5 quarters of play.
Absolutely wild.
The Ravens’ ability to score at will is impressive, but the Steelers have been impressive offensively this season as well. Especially so with Russell Wilson under center. Wilson orchestrated an impressive game-winning drive for the Steelers against Washington, which included a big-time throw to newcomer Mike Williams.
These two teams were aggressive in pursuing upgrades at the NFL trade deadline. They clearly believe they can beat anyone in the NFL, and why wouldn’t they?
This is going to be one of the best games of the week. I just don’t know how you can bet against the Lamar Jackson-led Ravens offense right now. It feels like no matter what level of defense they go up against, they just have so many different ways to win.
Prediction: Ravens win 29-24
Atlanta Falcons (6-4) @ Denver Broncos (5-5)
Sunday, November 17, 4:05 PM ET
After an absolutely loaded slate for the 1:00 ET window in Week 11, we finally arrive to the late-afternoon window with a highly intriguing matchup of two teams that are looking to get back into the playoffs this season.
And two teams that went after quarterbacks in a big way in the 2024 offseason.
No team invested more at quarterback this offseason than the Atlanta Falcons, who not only gave free agent Kirk Cousins a massive contract but then used the 8th overall pick on Washington star Michael Penix Jr. The Falcons have seen pretty immediate fruit from that with Kirk Cousins en route to become the NFL Comeback Player of the Year this year, but it hasn’t been an easy road, by any means.
The Falcons are fresh off of a tough loss to the Saints, in fact, and now they are going to Denver to face off against a ticked-off Broncos team that just lost in the most heartbreaking fashion possible vs. the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs.
We should be talking about the previously undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, but the Broncos couldn’t execute a 35-yard field goal as time expired and the Chiefs made a huge play on special teams, blocking the Broncos’ kick and winning by two points.
Denver was orange crushed. Devastated.
The Broncos have played two of the best teams in the NFL the past two weeks in the Ravens and Chiefs, so playing a quality opponent like the Falcons isn’t going to take them by surprise. The Broncos desperately need a quality win at home in Week 11 and right now, they’re slim 1.5-point favorites.
I think we’ll see them come out focused in this one and rookie QB Bo Nix will continue to make his bid for NFL offensive rookie of the year while that Denver pass rush feasts.
Prediction: Broncos win 27-20
Seattle Seahawks (4-5) @ San Francisco 49ers (5-4)
Sunday, November 17, 4:05 PM ET
Here we have one of the most underrated games of the week. The late-afternoon slate in Week 11 is really blessing football fans and if you’re not a fan of any of the teams playing, you’ll be able to throw on the Red Zone channel and really just enjoy some great football.
We have one of our biggest divisional matchups of the week with an NFC West battle between the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers predictably won coming off the bye week, but it wasn’t an easy win by any means. The Niners had to travel to the East Coast to play against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the blistering heat, and obviously that’s not an easy task whether you’re coming off the bye or not.
But they made it happen, and they got to 5-4. The 49ers have effectively weathered the storm of all the injuries they had going against them in the first half of the season and with Christian McCaffrey back in the fold, you can’t help but believe this team is going to be going on some kind of run here in the near future.
The Seattle Seahawks loom, and it just doesn’t feel like this is a matchup that favors the Seahawks even in the slightest. They are going to need to hope to catch the 49ers napping, or force a bunch of turnovers to create extra possessions for Geno Smith and the offense.
The 49ers are early 6.5-point favorites against Seattle and I think this game will be close for three quarters. Heck, it may even come down to a couple of late possessions. It just feels like this is where the 49ers are going to start to go on a little bit of a run. They are playing at home and they need to keep pace with the Cardinals.
Prediction: 49ers win 31-24
Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) @ Buffalo Bills (8-2)
Sunday, November 17, 4:25 PM ET
Here we have the game of the week in the NFL in Week 11, and it’s not particularly close. The stakes always feel incredibly high when it comes to the Bills and Chiefs meeting up, whether we’re talking about the obvious stakes in their playoff matchups or games like this that have playoff implications.
The #1 seed in the AFC could ultimately be on the line with this head-to-head matchup.
The Buffalo Bills have to be feeling great about playing at home in this one, and they have to feel really good about the way they’ve played overall this season. Even with a number of notable losses on the roster, the Bills have seemingly gotten better this year. Josh Allen certainly has gotten to another level as a quarterback and leader.
On the other sideline, we’re seeing the Kansas City Chiefs play about as weird as they could possibly play in a 9-0 start to the season. The Chiefs haven’t lost since Christmas last year, though not for lack of trying.
It feels like the Chiefs are flirting with disaster every single week, and it feels like every week, they just simply find a way. Whether it’s the Ravens missing a touchdown by a toe-length, a blocked field goal from 35 yards again against Denver, or just finding unique ways to finish games, fortune favors the Chiefs right now.
They are more good than lucky, but they are extremely lucky in a lot of ways. The Chiefs are losing the turnover battle this season and they remain undefeated. They just know how to get the job done in clutch moments. They are battle tested.
This week against the Bills, the undefeated Chiefs are 1.5-point underdogs. A loss against Denver might have provided some much-needed fuel for this Kansas City team, but as it stands, they are still “due”. If anyone’s going to knock the Chiefs off, it’s going to be Buffalo, right?
And then a, “See you again in January” at midfield.
Prediction: Bills win 25-24
Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) @ Los Angeles Chargers (6-3)
Sunday, November 17, 8:20 PM ET
The NFL flexed this game into the Sunday Night Football slot in Week 11 and for good reason. The Los Angeles Chargers deserve the spotlight for the moment because, ironically, they are probably one of the most underrated teams in the NFL right now.
And I say that is ironic because the Chargers are frequently one of the most overrated and overhyped teams in the NFL. They are typically the team that everyone loves to say is a darkhorse Super Bowl candidate or the team to potentially dethrone the Chiefs, but I’m not hearing much of that talk this year despite this being the best Chargers team we’ve seen in the Justin Herbert era, and despite the fact that Jim Harbaugh is far and away the best coach this team has had in quite some time.
The Chargers are going to have their hands full on Sunday night, however, and there is no home-field advantage for LA going up against a team like the Bengals. Not with a healthy Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase.
And this week, who knows? Maybe even a healthy Tee Higgins. We’ll see.
The Bengals were inches away from a win against the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. So they’ve had extra time to prep for this game. Stopping the Cincinnati offense is easier said than done at this point and they will be a tremendous test for the Chargers, who have been great all year defensively.
But this isn’t Will Levis and the Titans. This is Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and a desperate Bengals team. I’m slightly shocked that the Chargers are 1.5-point favorites at this point. It would be an upset, to me, if they found a way to win.
Prediction: Bengals win 27-23
Houston Texans (6-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (3-6)
Monday, November 18, 8:15 PM ET
I’m going to use this platform as an opportunity to scold the Dallas Cowboys for their incompetence. The perfect opportunity to throw Trey Lance out there and let the guy play has presented itself, and they spun their wheels again with the 30-year-old Cooper Rush.
What is Mike McCarthy doing? Is he trying to get fired?
This is going to be Bill Belichick’s team soon, isn’t it?
The Cowboys need to throw Trey Lance out there and at least see if he can provide this team with a spark, because they don’t have it. The Cowboys are likely going to be without Dak Prescott for the rest of the season. An extended injury and a bad record is literally the perfect time to start Trey Lance and come what may. But instead, they let Cooper Rush go out there as a sitting duck against the Philadelphia Eagles. It’s deplorable.
Now, the Houston Texans are coming to Dallas and they’re going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder after the way they lost to the Detroit Lions on Sunday. At least, you would hope so, for their sake. The Texans caused Jared Goff to throw a whopping five interceptions and they still lost the game.
Luckily for Houston, the AFC South is just so incredibly bad this year that they didn’t lose any ground. In fact, every single AFC South team lost in Week 10. Go figure.
The Texans should be able to get back on track in this game, but the idea that there’s even a chance of Trey Lance playing and throwing a bit of a wrench into things gives me pause. Not only that, but Micah Parsons might single-handedly make it a little easier for whoever Dallas has playing quarterback to pull off an upset.
Houston is a whopping 7.5-point favorite in this game and the smart money is not on Dallas, but with Troy Aikman calling the game, I’m predicting an upset here.