NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 2

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Dec 23, 2012, Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) passes against the San Francisco 49ers during the third quarter at CenturyLink Field. San Francisco 49ers outside linebacker Ahmad Brooks (55) is at left. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports


I’m not much of a trend guy. I mean, if a team is 9-1 against the spread the last 10 years in Week 2, does that really mean anything? That said, here’s a few NFL picks against the spread (ATS) based on some trends:

SEAHAWKS -2.5 vs. 49ERS, because Seattle is 18-4 ATS in September home games since 2000 and 19-6 ATS as home favorites since 2007. In the SF-SEA series, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the home team has won 7 of the last 8 games, including 6-2 ATS.

DOLPHINS +3 at COLTS, because Miami is 15-5 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record since 2007 and the underdog is 40-18 ATS in the Dolphins’ last 57 games, including their outright win over the Browns last week.

JAGUARS +6 at RAIDERS, because Oakland is 6-27 ATS at home vs. teams with losing records. Also, the Raiders are 5-18 ATS as a favorite since 2006 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

But really, God help you if you’re actually betting on the Oakland-Jacksonville game.


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