NFL Week 4: Full Picks Against the Spread

Sep 25, 2016; Charlotte, NC, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) is sacked by Minnesota Vikings defensive end Everson Griffen (97) in the fourth quarter. The Vikings defeated the Panthers 22-10 at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 25, 2016; Charlotte, NC, USA; Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton (1) is sacked by Minnesota Vikings defensive end Everson Griffen (97) in the fourth quarter. The Vikings defeated the Panthers 22-10 at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports /
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To round out the NFL Week 4 predictions, we’ll make the picks against the spread for every game this week.

After three weeks of the 2016 season, we can finally start to establish patterns. You know the Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos will compete solely because of defense. We know that the New Orleans Saints will be doing whatever the polar opposite of that is. The list goes on, but we finally have some sort of grasp on the league entering NFL Week 4.

However, that didn’t exactly translate to much success when it came to picks against the spread in Week 3. After going an even .500 in Week 2 (the first week of these picks), I failed to even reach that same clip. That has a lot to do with surprises like the Arizona Cardinals faltering again and other outcomes of that ilk.

But hey; quitters never prosper. So we’re back again to try to conquer the oddsmakers and see if we can’t make more sense of the NFL. Let’s start by remembering that bye weeks start now, so the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers will have the week off. Now on to the NFL Week 4 picks against the spread.

Week 3 Record: 7-9
2016 Record: 15-17 (No Picks for Week 1)

Sep 25, 2016; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill (17) attempts a pass in the game against the Cleveland Browns during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 25, 2016; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill (17) attempts a pass in the game against the Cleveland Browns during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports /

Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

We’ll start with the Thursday game, which I picked on Twitter prior to kickoff. Don’t believe me?

The Thursday Night Football matchup this week featured the Dolphins traveling to take on the Cincinnati Bengals. Make no mistake, the home team’s 1-2 start to 2016 was both shocking and disappointing. However, that doesn’t mean they were quite on-par with the visitors.

Miami should have lost outright to the Cleveland Browns last week with Cody Kessler starting at quarterback. That fact alone is enough to made me take the favorites here. When you factored in their lack of running game and the Bengals front line, though, I felt even more strongly about that.

Pick: Bengals -7.5 (That’s a W)