DraftKings NFL Picks, Week 14: Best bargains in DFS play

Wide Receivers

Michael Thomas and Tyreek Hill are the two highest-priced wide receivers in week 14. However, both face extremely tough matchups.

Thomas will always deliver a high floor, more so than Hill. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Hill get behind All-Pro cornerback Stephon Gilmore for a touchdown, but his ceiling isn’t as high as usual given the New England Patriots’ proficient mid-game adjustments.

No one should look down on anyone who features either in a Week 14 lineup, but we shift our focus elsewhere in search of value. Stefon Diggs (MIN vs. DET, $7,600) is in a smash spot, but he’s unfortunately priced accordingly.

Likewise, Julio Jones (ATL vs. CAR, $7,500) is a bit hard to trust given his recent performance. The usually reliable DeAndre Hopkins (HOU vs. DEN, $7,400) has logged two straight weeks with fewer than ten targets, and draws a tough matchup against Chris Harris, Jr.

With so many slam-dunk wide receivers facing question marks, who should NFL DFS players target this week? Our synopsis below of solid players and savory matchups should help.

Chris Godwin (TB vs. IND, $7,300) always carries monster game ability. He and his equally mercurial counterpart Mike Evans (TB vs. IND, $7,200) draw a favorable matchup against an Indianapolis Colts secondary that is nowhere near as strong against wide receivers as they were at the start of the season.

D.J. Moore (CAR at ATL, $7,000) has nine or more targets in seven straight games, and has posted 15 or more fantasy points in seven of his last eight. He should put up numbers against an improved Atlanta Falcons defense that has still managed to allow a receiver to post a 100-yard day in four of its last five games.

Cooper Kupp (LAR vs. SEA, $7,000) caught all six of his targets for 65 yards and a touchdown last week, and should build on those numbers in Week 14. The Seattle Seahawks rank 29th in passing yards allowed per game, so there’s no reason to think Jared Goff can’t get both Kupp and Robert Woods (LAR vs. SEA, $6,100) involved early and often.

DeVante Parker (MIA at NYJ, $6,900) put the Miami Dolphins on his back and put up a Big Boy Game against an Eagles defense that was playing well going into last week. While his seven-catch, 159-yard, two-touchdown performance was his best of the season, it was his ninth straight week with double-digit fantasy points on DraftKings, proving that he has a high floor to go along with the sky-high ceiling he just built.

Calvin Ridley (ATL vs. CAR, $6,700) posted his best DFS week of the season against Carolina in Week 11, and makes for a great start this week against a Panthers defense that’s reeling from the loss of Ron Rivera. Ridley has logged three straight games with at least six catches and 85 yards, and scored two of those three games.

Keenan Allen (LAC at JAX, $6,600) hasn’t had a 100-yard receiving day since Week 3, so the low price point is justified. However, the Los Angeles Chargers’ top wide receiver caught all six targets last week and scored a touchdown despite a tough matchup against rival cornerback Chris Harris, Jr.; a resurgence in Week 14 wouldn’t come as a surprise.

Courtland Sutton (DEN at HOU, $6,400) hauled in a pair of touchdowns in rookie quarterback Drew Lock‘s first NFL start. Earlier this week, I reflected on Sutton’s continued success despite a quarterback carousel:

Even coming off of a “bad week” in which he logged only 10.7 DraftKings points, John Brown (BUF vs. BAL, $6,100) is still a solid, high-floor play as Josh Allen‘s favorite target faces his former team. Brown has incredibly scored double-digit fantasy points in all but one game, with the lone blemish a 9.5 point performance against the Bengals in Week 3.

Tyler Boyd (CIN at CLE, $5,900) saw ten targets for the first time since Week 7, re-establishing a connection with his quarterback that ran cold when Ryan Finley was under center. The return of John Ross should open up plenty of opportunities for Boyd to do damage all over the field. A third ten-catch game of the season is not out of the question.

After catching seven of ten targets for 109 yards against the Tennessee Titans in Week 13, Zach Pascal (IND at TB, $5,500) draws what is the league’s worst pass defense, at least on paper. We tread somewhat lightly here, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been rather staunch over the past two weeks.

Pascal, along with super-cheap teammates Marcus Johnson (IND at TB, $3,600) and Parris Campbell (IND at TB, $3,200), should benefit from injuries to the Indianapolis Colts‘ receiving corps. Any or all of this trio could easily outperform their price tags if the Bucs’ defense turns back into a pumpkin and allows a potential shootout to ensue.

Jamison Crowder (NYJ vs. MIA, $5,300) had one of his best games of the season in Miami earlier this year. Despite a poor Week 13 showing, Crowder’s nine targets last week are a sign that he’s still someone Darnold turns to often, so expect Crowder to once again outperform his price point, as he’s done so often in PPR formats over the past few years.

Dipping into the bargain bin, Mike Williams (LAC at JAX, $4,500) is like that DVD movie you can’t believe is in the $5 bargain bin. Sure, he’s enduring a touchdown drought that would even make Julio Jones point and laugh, but he’s also logged 75 or more receiving yards in three of his last four outings, including a pair of 100-yard games.

Corey Davis (TEN at OAK, $3,900) is a worthwhile start in “studs and scrubs” lineups. The former phenom, who once masqueraded as a stud, is now a scrub who draws a very favorable matchup. He should benefit from the absence of possession receiver Adam Humphries, who is out with an ankle injury.