Fantasy Football Guide 2021: AFC sleepers, targets, busts, strategies

Nov 29, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) and tight end Travis Kelce (87) his touchdown scored against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 29, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) and tight end Travis Kelce (87) his touchdown scored against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
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Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Chargers Fantasy Football Guide

Justin Herbert has legitimate QB1 upside. It all depends on how often new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi lets Herbert sling it. Don’t get me wrong, Herbert has rushing upside as well. It’s just not as prominent as it is for Dak Prescott and Russell Wilson. Considering they’re all going at around the same time, I prefer a passer who has proven more than once he can be a top-12 quarterback. I also believe I can get a high-ceiling backup later, like Trey Lance or Justin Fields.

Austin Ekeler intrigues me. On one hand, you have a proven PPR threat with top-five potential. On the other hand, how can you trust a running back who only saw 51 percent of his team’s snaps? Admittedly, that should be closer to 54% due to his injury in Week 4, but it still doesn’t change his situation. If Ekeler saw more work in short-yardage situations, he’d be a top-five pick. He will frustrate you at times, but he can also average 18 points a game again.

Keenan Allen is as steady as they come. Last year’s WR12 is typically being picked as this year’s WR9. The potential is definitely there for him to reach that value, so he’s not a bad pick. I just prefer a younger player with a better career trajectory than the 29-year-old receiver. Who’s more likely to breakout: Terry McLaurin or Keenan Allen? That’s my thinking, but again, Allen is a fine pick in this range, especially if you’re betting hard on an offensive explosion for the Chargers.

I’m sorry Mike Williams fans, I can’t buy into another hyped-up season. Remove his five games of double-digit performances last season—one of which came in Week 17–and he barely averages five points per game. It’s tough to expect an improvement unless a) the Chargers sling the rock way more than they did last season or b) Josh Palmer or Jalen Guyton fade into the abyss. Speaking of Palmer, keep an eye on him as a potential waiver pickup. Los Angeles spent a third-round pick on him for a reason, as you’ll see in my tweet.

I know I’ve discouraged you from picking tight ends late, but if you feel like waiting, wait as long as you can before drafting Jared Cook. After scoring 16 touchdowns in two seasons with New Orleans, Cook steps into a situation where 92 targets are up for grabs. And Hunter Henry did that in just 13 games. He’s my favorite late-round tight end if I feel like drafting one.