5 fantasy football busts you should avoid over-drafting in 2022

Chris Godwin is going too high in fantasy football after ACL injury

From the looks and sounds of things, Chris Godwin is progressing quite well in his recovery from an ACL injury that feels like it just happened a few weeks ago. Godwin had successful knee surgery in January after a major knee injury, and being that he will be only eight months removed from that injury at the start of the season, why is anyone taking him at his current ADP of 57.8?

Godwin’s average draft position is obviously over a lot of players, players that aren’t coming off of major knee surgery. It’s one thing to be coming off the ACL, it’s another thing to be barely seven months removed from surgery to repair it. If Godwin had torn his ACL in September last year, he might be worthy of this WR21 distinction.

Who knows? At the end of the season, he could look like an absolute steal as WR21 and a player you can get past the top 50 picks. In most leagues, though, you’re investing a starter pick in round five on a guy who may not be completely himself by the time the season gets rolling and the Bucs have contingencies in place.

Tyreek Hill is a risky fantasy football pick without Patrick Mahomes

The Miami Dolphins are going to find ways to get Tyreek Hill involved in the offense, there’s no question about it. After the price they paid to get him in the fold, both in terms of money and draft picks, you can expect them to force-feed him the ball. So why should you avoid him in fantasy football?

At this point, it’s hard to trust that Tua Tagovailoa is going to put Tyreek Hill in a position to be a top 20 overall fantasy football player in 2022. That’s what he’s been in redraft leagues and he’s been WR8 ahead of the likes of Mike Evans and Keenan Allen. Does Hill have the potential to be a top 20 player overall or better? Sure. Does that mean he’ll reach that with Tua throwing passes and another player that will require some manufactured touches like Jaylen Waddle?

I am just not sold on it at this point. I think both Tyreek and Patrick Mahomes could struggle a bit without each other, and with Hill, you’re taking him in the second round expecting him to give you WR1 production.