Houston Texans (3-5) @ Cleveland Browns (5-4)
Sunday, November 15, 1:00 PM ET
Even though the Browns and Texans are separated by two games in the win column, why does this game feel like it’s so heavily favoring Houston?
In a very literal sense, the Texans are rather heavy favorites. They are favored by 4.5 points on the road against Cleveland, and while that may feel disrespectful to a team that has won five games already this season, it doesn’t feel wrong at this point, either.
The Browns look like a classic case of a team that caught some fire early on, only to fizzle out and show their true colors as the season goes along. With that said, they came within just a two-point conversion of being 6-3 heading into this game, and their defense has played well for most of the season.
You can’t put it past them to pull off an upset here, especially because they’ve already proven this season that they can finish tight games.
The Texans, on the other hand, have largely been a disappointment. They started the year 0-4, but isn’t it funny how quickly they’ve returned to exactly the same spot they were in a year ago at this time?
After starting 3-5 in the 2025 season, the Texans finished the year as one of the hottest teams in the league and almost came all the way back to take the division from the Jaguars.
It does feel like the Texans are going to find a way to stay hot. CJ Stroud is playing some of the best football of his career, the Texans have a plethora of weapons in the passing game, and that defense gained some confidence with an outstanding performance in their domination of Justin Herbert and the Chargers.
Given the number of sacks Deshaun Watson has taken this season, this one could get out of hand.
Prediction: Texans win 28-16
