12. Indianapolis Colts - 1% chance
The Indianapolis Colts have a one percent chance at the playoffs this year. About one year ago on the nose, the Colts were 7-1 and within the mix atop the AFC, but a second-half collapse and a Daniel Jones Achilles injury stalled out the progress this team made. The Colts also really boggled the NFL Trade Deadline and not only jumped the gun on trading Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner, but then likely held out for more value in trying to trade Jonathan Taylor and Grover Stewart, ultimately failing.
The Colts are one team that could enter a years-long, but much-needed rebuild.
11. Las Vegas Raiders - 12% chance
The Las Vegas Raiders were 3-0 to begin the season, but since that point, they have gone 1-5 over their past six games and also traded Kirk Cousins to the Minnesota Vikings. Vegas is now likely going to turn to Fernando Mendoza for the rest of the season, and while the Raiders have already exceeded expectations, this team could also be prepared to endure the growing pains that come from a rookie quarterback.
10. Baltimore Ravens - 17% chance
Jacoby Brissett is now the Baltimore Ravens starting QB, as both Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley are out. If Jackson was healthy, the Ravens' playoff chances would look a lot better than this, but that's the brutal reality of the NFL - injuries happen, and they stink. The Ravens, at best, would need Jackson back in the lineup on the very early side of his recovery window, and even in that event, the playoffs would feel unlikely.
9. Cleveland Browns - 26% chance
The Cleveland Browns were 5-2 at one point, but it's pretty clear that this is more of a 'house money' type of season, as the Browns enacted a lot of change this past offseason and are still a very flawed team, but, if nothing else, it's clear that head coach Todd Monken knows what he is doing and could have put the franchise in good hands for years to come.
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