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NFL Power Rankings, Week 10: Ranking every AFC team by playoff chances

Let's rank the 16 AFC teams by their chances to make the playoffs.
ByLou Scataglia
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
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4. Cincinnati Bengals - 92% chance

Despite being in second in the AFC North, the Cincinnati Bengals currently have a higher chance to make the playoffs than the Steelers. Joe Burrow is the key difference here, as he has played like the MVP of football over the past few weeks and has honestly looked unstoppable at times. With Cincy's defense also not being a bottom-feeding unit, it currently feels like there is almost no chance that this team misses the postseason, which would be the first time since the 2022 season.

3. Denver Broncos - 95% chance

The Denver Broncos are in first in the AFC West and currently have a 95 percent chance at the playoffs this year, landing them No. 3 in the power rankings. Denver is 7-2 for the second season in a row and has won five in a row despite having one of the toughest schedules in football thus far. While the Broncos almost never make it look pretty, they keep winning, and that's the most important thing. Denver is on pace to make the playoffs for the third season in a row.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars - 98 percent chance

The Jacksonville Jaguars got hyper-aggressive at the NFL Trade Deadline and added two big-time players in Jordan Davis and Jesse Bates III. With the improvements on defense, coupled with how excellent Trevor Lawrence has been this year, the Jaguars' playoff odds of 98 percent is no shock.

1. Buffalo Bills - >99% chance

The Buffalo Bills could end up being the first team in the AFC to clinch a playoff spot this year. Right now, their odds are greater than 99 percent, so it's a virtual lock that, yet again, Josh Allen and the Bills will be in the postseason, which has been the case each year since the 2019 season.

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