T-13. Washington Commanders - 19% percent chance
The Washington Commanders are tied with the Saints with a 19 percent chance at the playoffs, and the main reason why their odds are still not terrible despite their terrible record is due to each division being flat-out bad. Washington did win 12 regular season games back in 2024, but we have since seen this franchise regress back to the mediocre state they were in years prior to the first year of the Jayden Daniels era.
11. Carolina Panthers - 31% chance
The Carolina Panthers are still in first place in the NFC South, but their chances at making the playoffs really don't reflect that of a division leader. Carolina is banged up, the defense has been horrific, and Bryce Young does have some forgettable play this year despite having a good season overall. Carolina won the division back in 2025 with a mediocre 8-9 record, and as of now, an 8-9 record could legitimately be enough, but that would not present any sort of leap forward from the franchise.
10. Dallas Cowboys - 33% chance
The Dallas Cowboys are 10th in the NFC with a 33 percent chance at the playoffs this year. The one thing the Cowboys have going for them is Dak Prescott, the best quarterback in the NFC East and one of the better, but also more underrated QBs in the sport. If this defense can somehow figure out how to be less bad the rest of the way, the Cowboys could leapfrog New York in the East and win the division. That is a large if, but it's possible.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 36% chance
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers actually have the best chance among all NFC South teams to make the playoffs this year. The NFC South continues to be an embarrassing division overall, but with Tampa Bay being able to run the ball and stop the run extremely well, their chances being the highest make sense. As defenses have gained an advantage over the years in taking away downfield passing, we are seeing offenses prioritize the run more, and the Buccaneers do that better than most teams, but QB Baker Mayfield has largely been dreadful this year, so an improvement from their veteran QB is a must.
Add us as a preferred source on Google