NFL 2017: Top teasers and best picks against the spread for Week 7

Your top teasers and best picks against the spread for NFL Week 7 favor more road underdogs. They are crushing it ATS this season. NFL 2017 week 7 picks.

Things appear to be approaching that parity doodad the NFL always goes on about. Entering Week 7, no one is undefeated, and 17 teams are within a game of .500 in either direction. Also, no team is undefeated or winless against the spread.

Since the underdogs keep winning, we are backing them hard this week. Your top teasers and best picks against the spread for NFL Week 7! Here are the lines for Week 7 via Sportsbook Review.

Two brothers from New York, Dan Salem and Todd Salem, debate NFL 2017 in today’s NFL Sports Debate.

2017 Record ATS

Dan’s record ATS: 6-6
Todd’s record ATS: 4-8

NFL Week 6 was more of the same. Underdogs went 9-5 outright, not even considering the spread. Underdogs of at least a touchdown went 4-2 ATS. Dogs are already 18 games over .500 through just six weeks. Road dogs specifically account for +13 of that +18. The 2017 season is inexplicable.

Todd Salem’s NFL Week 7 Picks

Todd’s Teaser:
New York Jets +9.5 (from +3.5) at Miami Dolphins
Cincinnati Bengals +11.5 (from +5.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

All three of my small favorites from last week lost outright. This week, I’m going to back medium underdogs and turn them into large underdogs on a teaser. I don’t really see much difference between the Jets and the Dolphins. And historically, the Dolphins don’t have a home-field advantage. With New York playing well for close to a month now, I would be tempted to take the Jets on their normal line. However, having already defeated the Dolphins once this year, a clean sweep feels unlikely. I’ll hedge by placing them in a teaser.

The Bengals and the Steelers feel similarly close since Cincinnati adjusted its offensive coaching staff. Cincy has covered three straight weeks, while the Steelers continue to flummox analysts with their uneven offense. Also, only two of the past 10 matchups in this rivalry would have covered this teaser spread, and the past three meet-ups have all been one-possession games.

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Seattle Seahawks -5.5 at New York Giants

Not all the underdogs can cover each week. The New York Giants strike me as the most obvious dog to fail. Everything that was true prior to last week’s game remains true for this squad, except they’ve already gotten their nobody-believes-in-us victory out of the way. They are still a decimated roster with glaring holes facing one of the premiere defenses in the league. Maybe last week’s win over Denver permanently solved all of New York’s largest issues, but I’m dubious.

Dan Salem’s NFL Week 7 Picks

Dan’s Teaser:
Arizona Cardinals +9.5 (from +3.5) at Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons +9.5 (from +3.5) at New England Patriots

I too love two road underdogs this week. The Cardinals put up a lot of points in week 6 and may actually be a good football team. They aren’t playing much defense, but since they can score a lot, Arizona keeps things close with Los Angeles. Its a divisional game too, meaning a tough fought battle. This is a touchdown game at most, so take 9.5 points and the Cardinals.

I feel similarly about Atlanta visiting the Patriots. New England has been unable to stop anyone’s passing offense this season, and that’s the Falcons strength. Despite giving the game to Miami last week, Atlanta is still playing good football. They may not stop New England, but the Patriots won’t stop them either. In this shootout its safe to take 9.5 points and the Falcons.

Green Bay Packers +5.5 vs New Orleans Saints

Everyone is writing off the Packers because they lost Aaron Rodgers to injury. But with a week of practice under his belt, I fully expect Brett Hundley to wield the Green Bay offense effectively. New Orleans has been consistently playing bad defense and the Packers are at home. This all works in favor of Green Bay’s offense.

Next: NFL: 5 Teams on upset alert in Week 7

It was only two weeks ago that the Packers had a potent running game, so I fully expect it to return against the Saints’ ugly defense. Its true that Drew Brees and New Orleans scored a ton last week, but on the road in Green Bay I don’t trust them. The Packers are in ‘prove it’ mode and can win outright. They are getting as many as 5.5 points, so take them all.