Picks against the spread for each NFL game in Week 3 of the 2019 season while highlighting which are the best bets and which odds you should be a bit wary of.
Talk about excitement entering NFL Week 3. We’ve got two of the most impressive teams in the NFL, the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens, squaring off at Arrowhead Stadium. Moreover, we have two ridiculous point spreads of 23 or more points on the weeks. And on top of that, Daniel Jones is slated to make his NFL debut for the New York Giants as they face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the road.
In making NFL picks against the spread so far in the 2019 season, I’ve managed to target some of the best bets of the week and be smart with the selections, going over .500 to start the year. With things taking shape throughout the league, though, now it’s crunch time and we need to make some headway over that .500 line.
We’ll see if that’s possible in what should be an absolutely fascinating slate of action in NFL Week 3. As always, these picks against the spread don’t include the Thursday Night Football game because wouldn’t we be better off if we collectively just tried to ignore those games anyway? I think so too.
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These are your NFL picks against the spread for Week 3.
Note: All odds are via Bovada
Week 2 record against the spread: 8-7
2019 record against the spread: 17-13
Miami Dolphins at Dallas Cowboys (-23.5)
There is literally no world and no spread short of 30 points that I will not take whoever is playing the Dolphins right now — especially a Cowboys team that has impressed on their way to 2-0.
Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
Joe Flacco is going to have a very bad time against a Packers defense that might be one of the best units in the league.
Baltimore Ravens (+6) at Kansas City Chiefs
At Arrowhead, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs should win. However, I have enough faith in Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense against a porous defense to keep this one quite close.
Oakland Raiders (+9) at Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings should win this game outright. However, the Raiders have looked fine enough offensively and Kirk Cousins has looked concerning enough that nine points is far too high of a spread.
Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (-6)
Pretty confident in this one as the Bills defense should make life quite hard for the Bengals that are wildly inconsistent on offense.
Atlanta Falcons (+1) at Indianapolis Colts
Have the Falcons done anything overly impressive through two weeks? Surely not. However, Matt Ryan is dangerous indoors and the Colts haven’t inspired much confidence yet either.
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-23)
This spread is massive, the second in that category. With Luke Falk starting for the Jets, though, the Patriots stout defense will eat him alive and cruise to another massive victory. Shockingly, this is one of my best bets of NFL Week 3.
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)
Who knows what to make of either of these teams at this point given how inconsistent that they’ve been. Thus, I’m just taking the home favorite and crossing my fingers here.
Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)
At almost every position, the Panthers are better than this Cardinals team. But I can’t in good faith bet on Kyle Allen starting for Carolina.
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6)
Daniel Jones ushers in a new era for the Giants but going against Todd Bowles in his first NFL start is a brutal matchup. It’s a big line but give me the Buccaneers at home against the rookie.
Houston Texans (+3) at Los Angeles Chargers
LA’s offensive line is quite concerning at this point and their Week 2 showing against the Lions didn’t inspire confidence. I’m not big on the Texans but J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus should guide the way to success.
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)
Teddy Bridgewater will look better than he did last week but the Saints defense has been problematic. Russell Wilson and Chris Carson will outpace Bridgewater handily.
Pittsburgh Steelers at San Francisco 49ers (-7)
There is zero reason to have faith in Mason Rudolph just yet and the 49ers are 2-0 playing their home opener.
Los Angeles Rams at Cleveland Browns (+3.5)
The Browns have yet to look good this season, even in their win over the Jets. This is a total gut feeling play here but I say they finally get on track and prove themselves against the Rams.
Chicago Bears (-4) at Washington Redskins
Talk about a game that I have zero confidence in. Chicago’s defense should be able to stop Case Keenum and Washington but it’s still concerning to have a pick riding on Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears offense.