NFL picks against the spread for every Week 4 game

Buffalo Bills (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images)
Buffalo Bills (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images) /

After an awful run of NFL picks against the spread last week, it’s time to get on track with a loaded Week 4 slate by once again tackling the odds.

It’s hard to imagine a worse week of NFL picks against the spread than what happened with me last week. After two weeks over .500, the nose-dive was all too real as everything went awry from start to finish. But not it’s time to start anew with Week 4, a week that features a litany of high-profile games that fans should be eager to tune into and some that they should be eager to bet on.

Perhaps the two biggest matchups of Week 4 are showdowns between undefeated teams. Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offense goes to a dome to face the Detroit Lions in what could be a barnburner. Moreover, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots hit the road to take on the unbeaten Buffalo Bills on Sunday afternoon.

If that weren’t enough, the Sunday Night Football matchup this week will feature the Dallas Cowboys, another undefeated team, going on the road to face the New Orleans Saints. It’s a fantastic Week 4 slate but it’ll be even better if I’m able to get these NFL picks against the spread back on track. So let’s attempt to beat the odds once again and, more importantly, not get mowed over by them in the process.

(Note: All odds are via Bovada.)

Week 3 NFL picks record: 5-10 (Yikes.)
2019 NFL picks record against the spread: 22-23

Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans (-4)

Kyle Allen‘s debut was something that I did not see coming last week. And while I think he may be better than I was expecting, that might have been his best performance. Now he’s on the road in Houston and you can still consider me skeptical.

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Cleveland Browns (+7) at Baltimore Ravens

I don’t know what to tell you other than the Browns are my Kryptonite and I’m going to ride the bandwagon all the way into the fire if I have to.

Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Detroit Lions

Considering that both the Chiefs and Lions are unbeaten, 3-0 and 2-0-1 respectively, it’s crazy that Kansas City are seven-point favorites on the road. And yet, I’m still taking them in this matchup as there’s no chance Detroit can stop them on Sunday.

Los Angeles Chargers (-14.5) at Miami Dolphins

If nothing else, making NFL picks against the Dolphins has been an easy win to this point.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+7.5)

Our other matchup of unbeaten teams in Week 4, the Patriots should be able to win this game outright. In fact, I’d bet on it. However, Buffalo’s defense is good enough with them at home to think that New England won’t cover the 7.5-point line.

Oakland Raiders (+7) at Indianapolis Colts

Considering that T.Y. Hilton is likely out for this game and that the Oakland offense should be able to find success, the line here feels a little too inflated for my liking for me to consider taking the Colts.

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)

Oh great, two teams that I have absolutely no idea what to make of after the first three weeks of the season. Here’s what we do in this situation: Take the home favorite, cross our fingers and pray to the football gods.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-3)

Do either of these teams strike fear in anyone? Not particularly. However, with what Daniel Jones showed in his debut last week, I’m not sure the porous Redskins will be able to put up much of a fight.

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+6)

This is definitely a gut feeling but the Cardinals often play the Seahawks incredibly tight. On top of that Seattle hasn’t been blowing anyone out, even in victory. Giving them six points in a divisional road game seems like too much.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams (-9)

Jared Goff and the Rams offense might throw for 700 yards on this Buccaneers secondary.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos (-3)

Gardner Minshew has undeniably impressed for the Jaguars to start the season. However, going to play in the altitude against a Broncos defense undoubtedly tired of hearing about how disappointing they’ve been so far seems like a tough task for the rookie.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-1.5)

This is going to be a slugfest and the Vikings are going to stifle the Bears. However, Chicago can also take away Dalvin Cook and the run game, which will ultimately shut down Minnesota.

Dallas Cowboys (-3) at New Orleans Saints

New Orleans’ defense has been sneaky bad to start the year. Couple that with Teddy Bridgewater starting and how good Dak Prescott and the Cowboys have looked and Dallas is the easy pick here.

Next. 2020 NFL Mock Draft: Dolphins reborn with Tua, Wirfs. dark

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Whose decision was it to make watching Monday Night Football an actual chore?