4. Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence is an outstanding QB, and I believe it's firmly OK to say that he's an elite player at this point. The Jacksonville Jaguars are now 3-1 on the season and a healthy 16-5 since the start of the 2025 season.
Lawrence continues to be a hyper-productive QB, and this really began in the final six games of 2025. Here is what Lawrence has produced in the regular season since that point:
9-1
65.2 percent completion
23 touchdowns
3 interceptions
112.5 passer rating
183 rushing yards
4 rushing touchdowns
So, yeah, that's a thing. Lawrence has been nothing short of amazing, and if the Jaguars continue to win like this, and Lawrence continues to stack play like this, he'll win the MVP award. I do believe the 'small market' thing with Jacksonville isn't insignificant here, but he was an official MVP candidate last year, so he probably has a great shot at being one this year as well.
3. Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Bijan Robinson is going to make the Hall of Fame one day - he's that good. The Atlanta Falcons are also now 2-2 on the season since Michael Penix Jr has returned to the lineup. Robinson has been his normal dominant self as well. Through four games, he has 494 rushing yards and 120 receiving yards.
He already has four rushing touchdowns on the ground and is averaging 123.5 rushing yards per game. He's also on pace for 2,610 scrimmage yards this year, which would break Chris Johnson's single-season record of 2,509 back in 2009.
If Robinson does break the scrimmage yards record, it would genuinely be hard for him not to win the award, especially if the Falcons find a way to win the NFC South and secure a top-4 seed in the NFC playoffs.
Robinson is every bit of an MVP candidate and is No. 3 in our power rankings.
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