Detroit Lions: Derek Carr contract is big news for Matthew Stafford

Nov 22, 2015; Detroit, MI, USA; Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr (4) shakes hands with Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) after their game at Ford Field. The Lions won 18-13. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 22, 2015; Detroit, MI, USA; Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr (4) shakes hands with Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) after their game at Ford Field. The Lions won 18-13. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports /
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Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford is in line for a serious payday in the aftermath of Derek Carr’s contract extension.

Derek Carr has reportedly become the NFL’s highest paid player and Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford has to be salivating right now.

As word emerges that the Oakland Raiders have agreed to a five-year, $125 million contract extension with their franchise passer (per Ian Rapoport), the story is gaining attention from around the league, but perhaps no one is more invested in the outcome of these events than Stafford and his agents.

Indeed, the new contract’s annual average value of $25 million sets a new NFL benchmark, surpassing Andrew Luck‘s yearly average of $24.594 million. There is little doubt that Carr is deserving of a considerable pay increase after playing an instrumental role in returing the Raiders to relevancy, but there is no question that this is a monumental deal.

After a sensational 2016 season that saw him garner MVP consideration, Carr has emerged as an upper tier NFL signal caller, but he is now being paid like the absolute best player at the game’s most important position. So what does this mean for someone like Stafford, who is currently seeking an extension of his own?

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The simple answer is “a lot”.

Stafford, 29, has had a somewhat similar (albeit longer) career to that of Carr. After being tasked with helping return an ailing franchise to legitimacy, he found himself, in large part, carrying the team on his back in the aftermath of the retirement of Calvin Johnson. In 2016, Stafford proved that he was a big-time player in the clutch, completing eight fourth quarter comebacks (a league record) while leading his team to a 9-7 record and a playoff berth.

A natural arm talent (much like Carr), Stafford has played a truly vital role in helping the Lions to the postseason in two of the last three years. So should he receive a deal that matches or eclipses Carr’s? That’s a slightly harder question to answer.

NFL contracts are often awarded based not only upon what a player has accomplished, but what he could conceivably become in the future. Carr is 26 and has only played for three seasons. Stafford is 29 and has played for eight.

Those numbers tell a story. Although the age gap is fairly small, after a minimal amount of professional experience, it’s still reasonable to consider Carr a developing player. While Stafford has displayed improvement over the last two years, it’s not a stretch of the imagination to argue that he has already had his best seasons, not just in 2016, but during his brilliant 5,038-yard, 41-touchdown 2011 campaign.

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The Raiders are paying Carr under the assumption that he will continue to develop into one of the absolute best in the league over the next few years, particularly as players like Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, and even Aaron Rodgers continue to age. It’s a bit of a risk, but his youth and upside make it one worth taking.

There is little question that Stafford is deserving of a considerable pay hike, but it is now up to general manager Bob Quinn and the rest of the Lions’ brass to decide if they value the former Georgia standout quite as highly. If the team believes that he can develop into one of the top five quarterbacks in the game, then they should absolutely sign him to such a lucrative contract. If they don’t, negotiations could ultimately prove to be problematic.

The likeliest outcome is one that sees the Stafford and the Lions agree to a new deal that will keep him in the mix for years to come, and it’s entirely possible that the value of the contract surpasses that of Carr’s. While this is far from a certainty, it seems as though the current regime is committed to building around the former first overall pick for the foreseeable future and that he is integral to the organization’s plans.

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Carr’s new contract could be a bit of a stumbling block, but it could just as easily spark serious negotiations between Stafford and the franchise in the near future. Stay tuned, Lions fans.